A YEAR OF FAILURE:

SEAN DAVID MORTON'S 2004 PREDICTIONS TALLIED

While Some Say Morton Has More Hits Than The Mob Or Barry Bonds, The Numbers Prove Morton Is Anything But "One of America's Greatest Psychics" As He Boasts

[ Special thanks to Simon Aspinall and his diligence in tracking a number of psychic predictions at his True or False website ]

 

" There was NOT an issue in November (Sean said he didn't know what to write after all his election predictions came true!) Issue #105, which will be a double "money" issue will be mailed around the end of December. "

--Delphi Associates website December 15, 2004 boasting that all of Morton's political predictions for the past election wre accurate.

 

While Morton may try to spin his predictions into hits and attempt to conjure an image portraying him as some sort of prophet or seer, the numbers speak volumes about his supposed abilities...

" I have called it LIKE IT IS and have the track record to back it up! " -- Sean David Morton

"Sean is a practiced astrologer. He has worked as a psychic and healer in both a public and private capacity. He worked professionally for three highly respected national psychic hotline services." -- Sean David Morton

"I HAVE BEATEN EVERYONE OUT THERE, and I am quite simply THE BEST THERE IS AT WHAT I DO. This is not ego, vanity or an idle boast. It is a verifiable, carved in stone FACT." -- Sean David Morton

"Well, that has been my observation, that you've been correct. That's what I go by." -- Art Bell endorsing Morton's supposed psychic accuracy.

"I have the unfortunate distinction as far as my detractors go of actually putting in print both my Delphi Associates newsletter and stating on the radio a series of of very specific predictions that have been, that have been very specifically accurate..." -- Sean David Morton on Coast To Coast AM.

"I have a success rate of well over 90%." -- Sean David Morton

With that, let's look at the predictions, what really happened, and tally up the numbers to see what percentage Morton was accurate on...


PREDICTION: Morton said January was a dangerous month for George Bush and that the Presidenct may not finish out his term in office.
REALITY: Nothing happened to President Bush. MISS

PREDICTION: The Carolina Panthers will win the Super Bowl defeating New England 20 to 17. REALITY: The Panthers lost to New England 32 to 29. MISS

PREDICTION: The stock market will rise in May. REALITY: While the market did begin to rise, it had its ups and downs in May. The stock market will rise and fall during any given month and you don't have to be psychic to figure that one out. MISS

PREDICTION: In May or June, major announcements will be made regarding discoveries made in Egypt and also in the Middle East.
REALITY: No such announcements were made. MISS

PREDICTION: A national red alert will be put in place on 4th July and New York is faced with a dirty bomb. REALITY: The country was never placed on red alert and there was no dirty bomb. MISS

PREDICTION: The 4th of July will bring serious attacks in Washington DC and there will be an explosion of a truck or an aircraft near the Capitol building itself. REALITY: No attacks, no explosions. MISS

PREDICTION: The US Dollar will hit a new low in July. REALITY: The dollar in July 2004 was at 101.85, the lowest the dollar has ever hit was in July 1995 at 84.50. MISS

PREDCTION: During the 2004 election, Ohio would become the new Florida for voting problems (21-OCT). REALITY: Problems were reported with voting machines in Ohio prior to the elections. The manufacturer of the voting machines had also published in the user manual the technical problems with the machines. USA Today, among others, reported massive problems with machines in Ohio as far back as June 2004. PREDICTION NOT APPLICABLE: This prediction is not going to be included in the final count, as news about Ohio voting problems was reported well in advance of this prediction. You don't have to be psychic to repeat the news...

PREDICTION: The Dow Jones will pass 11,000 points in July. REALITY: The Dow Jones Index never reached 11,000. MISS

PREDICTION: The Dow Jones will fall in August. REALITY: The Dow Jones Index did fall. The problem is that it also rose this same month. Again, anyone prediciting the Dow will fall or rise will be right on any given day. MISS

PREDICTION: There will be riot or unrest at Olympic Games. REALITY: Demonstrators against Bush and the war in Iraq disrupted the games and Colin Powell canceled his appearance at the closing ceremonies for the Olympics. HIT

PREDICITON: George Bush will formulate a peace plan for the Middle East involving Sharon and Arafat in 2005. REALITY: This isn't likey with the recent death of Yassar Arafat this past November. MISS

PREDICTION: There will be a swarm of earthquakes around the area of Mount Baker and then deep quakes underneath the city of Seattle in September. REALITY: There were no earthquakes reported in either area. MISS

PREDICTION: The Dow Jones will rise in third week of October. REALITY: The Dow Jones continued to fall in the third week of October. MISS

PREDICTION: In 3 weeks there will be a big earthquake in Southern California (made on 21-OCT). REALITY: No big earthquake hit Southern California. MISS

PREDICTION: Oil prices will plummet before the 2004 US election to $30 a barrel. REALITY: Oil prices closed at $51.76 a barrel on the 29th of October. MISS

PREDICTION: Later this year a smallpox attack in Israel will leave 14,700 people dead. REALITY: No small pox attack. MISS

PREDICTION: More SARS and an Asian flu this Fall. REALITY: Nope. MISS

PREDICTION: George Bush will win the 2004 election by a landslide. REALITY: Bush won the election by a mere 3% of the vote. No landslide here. If you want to look at a real ladslide victory, look no further than the 1980 election where Ronald Reagan received 489 electoral votes and 43,901,812 of the popular vote. Reagan's rival Jimmy Carter received 49 electoral votes and 35,483,820 of the popular vote. Reagan beat Carter 50.7% to 41.0%. MISS

PREDICTION: Colin Powell will resign soon after the election. Condoleezza Rice will be the new Secretary of State while Donald Rumsfeld will no longer be Secreatry of Defense. REALITY: Powell had previously announced his possible resignation if Bush won a second term (see news story about Powell's staff saying he would not serve a second term with Bush). Rice was the obvious choice for Powell's replacement and Rumsfeld is still Secretary of Defense. Again, anyone can take old news and make it as though it was new. Rumsfeld is still in his position and looks like he will will is staying despite recent bad press. MISS

PREDICTION: Terrorist leader Ayman al-Zawahiri was taken into custody 2 or 3 months ago. The announcement of his capture will be made to the public just before the election. REALITY: No al-Zawahiri, no announcement, no hit. MISS

PREDICTION: Osama Bin Laden was killed in a missle attack. REALITY: Osama Bin Laden is clearly alive having recently been seen on a video tape and in an audio talking about the 2004 election, naming the candidates, and talking about other current events. Just this past week at the end of December 2004, yet another bin Laden tape surfaced. MISS

PREDICTION: Saddam Hussein is dead. REALITY: Hussein is alive and in custody after being captured by US forces, though Morton wants people to believe his prediction is true based on someone claiming the Hussein in custody is a double. MISS

PREDICTION: US and Isreali military forces are on standby for a coordinated attack on nuclear sites in Iran. Could happen before the election. REALITY: No attacks. MISS

PREDICTION: There is one last great warning to mankind. The warning could be a solar flare, red sky or a disease of some sort. REALITY: Wow, talk about covering your bases with such a broad predcition. Nothing happened...again. MISS

PREDICITON: The next big hurricane name will start with the letter M. REALITY: While this did take place, names for storms are predetermined six years in advance and the names are rotated in alphabetical order each year with the exception of the letters Q, U, and Z. Check out the list of names for hurricanes for 2002 to 2007 for the Atlantic. You'll see that 2004's letter M hurricane is Matthew. PREDICTION NOT APPLICABLE: This is an obvious case of someone hoping to play one over on folks who may not have knowledge of the Federal Emergency Management Agency's website educating kids on how the hurricanes get their names. It doesn't take someone using supposed psychic powers to figure this one out. Frankly, this is pretty low.

Number of Predictions: 26

Number of HITS: 1

Number of MISSES: 23

Predictions Not Applicable: 2

Total Predictions Correct: 1 out of 24

Percentage of Accuracy: 4.16%

80% accuracy? 90% accuracy? More hits than the Mob or Barry Bonds? We think not. And if Morton is such an accurate psychic making all sorts of predictions for earthquakes and killer weather, just where was he when the monster earthquake/tsunami hit Asia and killed over 100,000 people? We certainly didn't hear Morton prediciting this or the massive flooding in Sourthern California, which is his own backyard.

Morton has predicted the death of the Pope a multitude of times and when it doesn't happen he says it is because of people sending the Pope their love and that keeps him alive. Morton has also been predicting major earthquakes and volcanic eruptions for years now. One of the things that sticks out about Morton's predictions is the fact that he always says the predicted event can be changed. This is a good way to hedge your bets.

If your prediction doesn't happen, then you can fall on the excuse that the event was altered to prevent it from happening. If it does happen, then you get to puff out your chest and thump it while proclaiming yourself a mighty prophet. Predict an earth quake that doesn't happen and you can say that your divine power prevented it. Nice way to cover your bases...but we're not buying it and neither should you.