A YEAR OF FAILURE:While Morton may try to spin his predictions into hits and attempt to conjure an image portraying him as some sort of prophet or seer, the numbers speak volumes about his supposed abilities...
With that, let's look at the predictions, what really happened, and tally up the numbers to see what percentage Morton was accurate on...
PREDICTION: Morton said January was a dangerous month for George
Bush and that the Presidenct may not finish out his term in office. REALITY: Nothing happened
to President Bush. MISS
PREDICTION: The Carolina Panthers will win the Super Bowl defeating New England 20 to 17. REALITY: The Panthers lost to New England 32 to 29. MISS
PREDICTION: The stock market will rise in May. REALITY: While the market did begin to rise, it had its ups and downs in May. The stock market will rise and fall during any given month and you don't have to be psychic to figure that one out. MISS
PREDICTION: In May or June,
major announcements will be made regarding discoveries made in Egypt and
also in the Middle East.
REALITY:
No such announcements were made. MISS
PREDICTION: A national red alert will be put in place on 4th July and New York is faced with a dirty bomb. REALITY: The country was never placed on red alert and there was no dirty bomb. MISS
PREDICTION: The 4th of July will bring serious attacks in Washington DC and there will be an explosion of a truck or an aircraft near the Capitol building itself. REALITY: No attacks, no explosions. MISS
PREDICTION: The US Dollar will hit a new low in July. REALITY: The dollar in July 2004 was at 101.85, the lowest the dollar has ever hit was in July 1995 at 84.50. MISS
PREDCTION: During the 2004 election, Ohio would become the new Florida for voting problems (21-OCT). REALITY: Problems were reported with voting machines in Ohio prior to the elections. The manufacturer of the voting machines had also published in the user manual the technical problems with the machines. USA Today, among others, reported massive problems with machines in Ohio as far back as June 2004. PREDICTION NOT APPLICABLE: This prediction is not going to be included in the final count, as news about Ohio voting problems was reported well in advance of this prediction. You don't have to be psychic to repeat the news...
PREDICTION: The Dow Jones will pass 11,000 points in July. REALITY: The Dow Jones Index never reached 11,000. MISS
PREDICTION: The Dow Jones will fall in August. REALITY: The Dow Jones Index did fall. The problem is that it also rose this same month. Again, anyone prediciting the Dow will fall or rise will be right on any given day. MISS
PREDICTION: There will be riot
or unrest at Olympic Games. REALITY: Demonstrators against Bush and the war in Iraq disrupted the
games and Colin Powell canceled his appearance at the closing ceremonies
for the Olympics. HIT
PREDICITON: George Bush
will formulate a peace plan for the Middle East involving Sharon and Arafat
in 2005. REALITY: This isn't likey with the recent death of Yassar Arafat this past
November. MISS
PREDICTION: There will be a swarm of earthquakes around the area of Mount Baker and then deep quakes underneath the city of Seattle in September. REALITY: There were no earthquakes reported in either area. MISS
PREDICTION: The Dow Jones will rise in third week of October. REALITY: The Dow Jones continued to fall in the third week of October. MISS
PREDICTION: In 3 weeks there will be a big earthquake in Southern California (made on 21-OCT). REALITY: No big earthquake hit Southern California. MISS
PREDICTION: Oil prices will plummet before the 2004 US election to $30 a barrel. REALITY: Oil prices closed at $51.76 a barrel on the 29th of October. MISS
PREDICTION: Later this year a smallpox attack in Israel will leave 14,700 people dead. REALITY: No small pox attack. MISS
PREDICTION: More SARS and an Asian flu this Fall. REALITY: Nope. MISS
PREDICTION: George Bush will win the 2004 election by a landslide. REALITY: Bush won the election by a mere 3% of the vote. No landslide here. If you want to look at a real ladslide victory, look no further than the 1980 election where Ronald Reagan received 489 electoral votes and 43,901,812 of the popular vote. Reagan's rival Jimmy Carter received 49 electoral votes and 35,483,820 of the popular vote. Reagan beat Carter 50.7% to 41.0%. MISS
PREDICTION: Colin Powell will resign soon after the election. Condoleezza Rice will be the new Secretary of State while Donald Rumsfeld will no longer be Secreatry of Defense. REALITY: Powell had previously announced his possible resignation if Bush won a second term (see news story about Powell's staff saying he would not serve a second term with Bush). Rice was the obvious choice for Powell's replacement and Rumsfeld is still Secretary of Defense. Again, anyone can take old news and make it as though it was new. Rumsfeld is still in his position and looks like he will will is staying despite recent bad press. MISS
PREDICTION: Terrorist leader Ayman al-Zawahiri was taken into custody 2 or 3 months ago. The announcement of his capture will be made to the public just before the election. REALITY: No al-Zawahiri, no announcement, no hit. MISS
PREDICTION: Osama Bin Laden was killed in a missle attack. REALITY: Osama Bin Laden is clearly alive having recently been seen on a video tape and in an audio talking about the 2004 election, naming the candidates, and talking about other current events. Just this past week at the end of December 2004, yet another bin Laden tape surfaced. MISS
PREDICTION: Saddam Hussein is dead. REALITY: Hussein is alive and in custody after being captured by US forces, though Morton wants people to believe his prediction is true based on someone claiming the Hussein in custody is a double. MISS
PREDICTION: US and Isreali military forces are on standby for a coordinated attack on nuclear sites in Iran. Could happen before the election. REALITY: No attacks. MISS
PREDICTION: There is one last great warning to mankind. The warning could be a solar flare, red sky or a disease of some sort. REALITY: Wow, talk about covering your bases with such a broad predcition. Nothing happened...again. MISS
PREDICITON: The next big hurricane name will start with the letter M. REALITY: While this did take place, names for storms are predetermined six years in advance and the names are rotated in alphabetical order each year with the exception of the letters Q, U, and Z. Check out the list of names for hurricanes for 2002 to 2007 for the Atlantic. You'll see that 2004's letter M hurricane is Matthew. PREDICTION NOT APPLICABLE: This is an obvious case of someone hoping to play one over on folks who may not have knowledge of the Federal Emergency Management Agency's website educating kids on how the hurricanes get their names. It doesn't take someone using supposed psychic powers to figure this one out. Frankly, this is pretty low.
80% accuracy? 90% accuracy? More hits than the Mob or Barry Bonds? We think not. And if Morton is such an accurate psychic making all sorts of predictions for earthquakes and killer weather, just where was he when the monster earthquake/tsunami hit Asia and killed over 100,000 people? We certainly didn't hear Morton prediciting this or the massive flooding in Sourthern California, which is his own backyard.
Morton has predicted the death of the Pope a multitude of times and when it doesn't happen he says it is because of people sending the Pope their love and that keeps him alive. Morton has also been predicting major earthquakes and volcanic eruptions for years now. One of the things that sticks out about Morton's predictions is the fact that he always says the predicted event can be changed. This is a good way to hedge your bets.
If your prediction doesn't happen, then you can fall on the excuse that the event was altered to prevent it from happening. If it does happen, then you get to puff out your chest and thump it while proclaiming yourself a mighty prophet. Predict an earth quake that doesn't happen and you can say that your divine power prevented it. Nice way to cover your bases...but we're not buying it and neither should you.
